One forecast a day: the range we expect NDX to settle inside, published at 1:25 PM CT and graded against the official close. Some days the model declines to call it — those are published too.
Each row is a range published before the close and the price NDX actually printed. Nothing is added after the fact and nothing is removed. Expand a month to see the days.
The model reads the session so far and puts out the band it expects NDX to settle inside, with the volatility regime it is working in. It goes out to subscribers and onto the public timeline at the same moment.
When the expected move is too small to be worth trading, or too much of the day has already happened, the model returns no forecast. That is an output, not an outage, and it is recorded as a no-trade day.
At the bell the official NDX print decides. Inside the published band or outside it — the result posts publicly and lands on this page the same evening.
The signal is only worth something while few enough people are acting on it. Membership is capped and it is not reopening when it fills.
